Robust Value at Risk Prediction
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Robust Value at Risk Prediction∗
This paper proposes a robust semiparametric bootstrap method to estimate predictive distributions of GARCH-type models. The method is based on a robust estimation of parametric GARCH models and a robustified resampling scheme for GARCH residuals that controls bootstrap instability due to outlying observations. A Monte Carlo simulation shows that our robust method provides more accurate VaR fore...
متن کاملValue-at-risk prediction using context modeling
In financial market risk measurement, Value-at-Risk (VaR) techniques have proven to be a very useful and popular tool. Unfortunately, most VaR estimation models suffer from major drawbacks: the lognormal (Gaussian) modeling of the returns does not take into account the observed fat tail distribution and the non-stationarity of the financial instruments severely limits the efficiency of the VaR ...
متن کاملconditional copula-garch methods for value at risk of portfolio: the case of tehran stock exchange market
ارزش در معرض ریسک یکی از مهمترین معیارهای اندازه گیری ریسک در بنگاه های اقتصادی می باشد. برآورد دقیق ارزش در معرض ریسک موضوع بسیارمهمی می باشد و انحراف از آن می تواند موجب ورشکستگی و یا عدم تخصیص بهینه منابع یک بنگاه گردد. هدف اصلی این مطالعه بررسی کارایی روش copula-garch شرطی در برآورد ارزش در معرض ریسک پرتفویی متشکل از دو سهام می باشد و ارزش در معرض ریسک بدست آمده با روشهای سنتی برآورد ارزش د...
Distributionally robust discrete optimization with Entropic Value-at-Risk
We study the discrete optimization problem under the distributionally robustframework. We optimize the Entropic Value-at-Risk, which is a coherentrisk measure and is also known as Bernstein approximation for the chanceconstraint. We propose an efficient approximation algorithm to resolve theproblem via solving a sequence of nominal problems. The computationalresults show...
متن کاملIncorporating Asymmetric Distributional Information in Robust Value-at-Risk Optimization
Value-at-Risk (VaR) is one of the most widely accepted risk measures in the financial and insurance industries, yet efficient optimization of VaR remains a very difficult problem. We propose a computationally tractable approximation method for minimizing the VaR of a portfolio based on robust optimization techniques. The method results in the optimization of a modified VaR measure, Asymmetry-Ro...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Financial Econometrics
سال: 2011
ISSN: 1479-8409,1479-8417
DOI: 10.1093/jjfinec/nbq035